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kindle Ô The Book of Why Ø The New Science of Cause and Effect read

ebook The Book of Why

kindle Ô The Book of Why Ø The New Science of Cause and Effect read õ [Reading] ➾ The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect ➵ Judea Pearl – Feedmarkformulate.co.uk A Turing Award winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionA Turing Award winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence Correlation is not causation This mantra chanted by scientists forthan a century has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk Today that taboo is dead The causal revolution instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues has cut through a century of confusion and established causality the study of cause and effect on a firm scientific basis His work explains how we can know easy things like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard uestions like whether a drug cured an illness Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why No BS tremendous clarity fun to read I think Dr Pearl might say that words and narratives are not given sufficient prominence in forecasting methodologies the modern world being uite in love with data as he confesses also to be This book is epistemological call to arms a classic in the field of reality studies Many examples practical advice for data scientists and forecasters

Judea Pearl Í The New Science of Cause and Effect doc

A Turing Award winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence Correlation is not causation This mantra chanted by scientists forthan a century has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk Today that taboo is dead The causal revolution instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues has cut through a century of confusion and established causality the study of cause and effect on a firm scientific basis His work explains how we can know easy things like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard uestions like whether a drug cured an illness Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why Great reading It will widen your horizon and see things in different perspective

book ´ The New Science of Cause and Effect Í Judea Pearl

The Book of Why The New Science of Cause and EffectA Turing Award winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence Correlation is not causation This mantra chanted by scientists forthan a century has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk Today that taboo is dead The causal revolution instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues has cut through a century of confusion and established causality the study of cause and effect on a firm scientific basis His work explains how we can know easy things like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard uestions like whether a drug cured an illness Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why I am always cautious when a book proclaims to be about a new science I am reminded of Albert Lazlo Barabasi's Linked and Stephen Wolfram's a New Kind of Science They make big promises but they often fail to deliver or what they are delivering is something which is a rediscovery rather than something newPearl's book is similar His views and methods on causality are important but they are not the only possible way forward even if he is convinced that they are What he proposes is a new graphical way of looking at scientific problems that allows you to understand causality His bête noire is statistics which he sees as having obstructed the development of causal theories for the last century I have to declare here than in some ways I am a statistician and I find his constant going on about how bad statistics is while then using the same language and euations as statistics somewhat annoying He is right that the founders like Fisher and Pearson were bullies thugs and dictators who straight jacketed their science for many years But the Bayesians have largely undone there mistakes What statisticians are is pedantic but so are philosophers Popper tells us we can only disprove and never prove anything but I am pretty sure that the Earth goes around the sun Pearl is sually pedantic in describing what he will and will not allow to be called causal inference and he creates his own do calculus to represent this But this has to be reduced to conditional probability statistics in order to be able to use data to solveHis diagrams are very useful but again I am unconvinced by the proofs of completeness offered and by the claims that it is a completely objective system It depends on what terms researchers put in the diagram Pearl is right that the statisticians were too pedantic and so excluded causal arguments but in trying to establish his method as completely objective I think he falls into the same trap We have to accept that science is never completely objective We are always restricted by our language metaphor and the current state of our imagination This is not to say his method is not a step forward It is just to say he claims too muchThis book was written to make Pearl's views accessible and it is written with a co author whose presence only shows itself as an example in a later chapter Most of the time it is written in the first person which is odd for a book with two authors It is part biography part history and part textbook For the most part it succeeds in its aim but the chapters on counter factuals and mediation are definitely not an easy read and need much better explanations So while the ideas are important it just doesn't uite deliver them in an accessible way